FPL GW38 Differential XI

Joe Willock
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My FPL GW38 differential pick article will provide FPL Managers with a line-up of gems you may not be considering but may pick up valuable points to help you outscore the competition. My starting eleven of differentials will be made up of players with an ownership of less than 10%, meaning if selected by you, you could be outscoring 9 of every 10 Managers in the game! 

GW36 wasn’t great, we move on, and due to the tight turnaround for GW37 I was unable to get an article out but here’s hoping we can end the season on a high!

This starting eleven was selected on Thursday 20th May 2021 and as of this date had an average ownership of 1.95%, and an overall value of £68m. 

Kiko CASILLA – 0.8% – £4.3m 
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Bielsa sprung a surprise by starting Casilla vs Southampton, and Casilla rewarded his Manager by returning 9 points. This week Leeds face West Brom at home and with Casilla seemingly confirmed to start, you could do much worse than Casilla as a final GW punt.

Gaetano BERARDI – 0.0% – £4.0m 

Berardi has played 45 minutes this season, and those 45 came as a half-time in GW37 vs Southampton. While only returning one point Berard was praised by Bielsa & team-mates post-match and may be in line to start the final game of the season after his return from injury. Berardi is by no means guaranteed a start, but if he does, £4.0m could be major bargain!

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Nathaniel PHILLIPS – 3.9% – £4.1m

Nat Phillips has featured previously in my differential article, and how can I not include him after his performance vs Burnley. Phillips was due a goal after becoming more and more of a threat in recent games and while he may not score vs Crystal Palace, he has every chance of keeping a clean-sheet and if he dominates the aerials vs Benteke then bonus points may also feature in his GW38 total.

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Kenny TETE– 0.1% – £4.3m

One minute is all Kenny Tete got in GW37 vs Manchester United, but Scott Parker has seemed to rotate Tete, Robinson & Aina this season, and i’m backing Tete to get the nod in GW38. Fulham host a Newcastle side that are already missing Callum Wilson and may be missing Allan Saint Maximin. Attacking returns have been non-existent for Tete, which I find surprising considering how dangerous he can look when crossing in to the opposition box. Tete may well break that duck this weekend, but even if he doesn’t, I can see a Fulham clean-sheet vs an ASM-less Newcastle. If ASM does play then Tete will have a tough job on his hands, but if he can contain the tricky French winger then Tete could be a bonus point magnet in GW38.

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Sadio MANE – 6.4% – £11.7m 

My first big-hitter of the article, and i’m sure most will agree he hasn’t justified the £11.5m+ price tag he has carried all season, however, with Liverpool needing a win to guarantee Champions League football next season Liverpool will hope Mane can end the season on a high and produce the goods.

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Joe WILLOCK – 2.5% – £4.8m

6 goals in his last 6 League games with 6, 6, 6, 8, 5 & 11 points coming in those 6 games. Can Willock make it 7 games in a row? The probability is that he won’t, but then the probability of scoring 6 games in a row was just as small. Willock is in this team just in case he does make it 7 in a row, and with Newcastle facing the already-relegated Fulham I can’t think of too many other teams he would rather be facing. Come on Joe, let’s make it 7!

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Nicolas PEPE – 1.5% – £7.6m

For the most part of his Arsenal career Pepe has been a dud, but he looks to be ending the season on a high with 3 goals in his past 2 games. Arsenal will be looking to leapfrog Tottenham if Spurs do not beat Leicester and with the Gunners facing a Brighton side missing Dunk & Veltman, Pepe could enjoy himself once more and really put himself in the frame for GW1 of the 2021/22 season.

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Said BENRAHMA – 0.3% – £5.9m

Like Pepe, Benrahma started his Premier League career off poorly but now appears to have cemented his place in the starting XI. In the past 4 GWs Benrahma has produced 1 goal, 2 assists and 4 bonus points. With West Ham looking to secure European football next season Benrahma will look to join Lingard & Antonio in leading them to victory over Southampton.

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Chris WOOD – 4.5% – £6.5m 

An in-form Chris Wood facing a poor Sheffield United side, nothing more required, no brainer!

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Daniel JEBBISON – 0.1% – £4.5m

Jebbison has started the last two games for the above mentioned poor Sheffield United side, but he has looked deadly when he has played and I really like the look of him. If Sheffield United get a chance vs Burnley there is every chance it will fall to Jebbison and for that reason, he’s in.

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Sergio AGUERO – 1.3% – £10.3m

Sergio Aguero is included for nostalgia purposes only. He is rated at 50% chance of playing on FPL, let alone starting! Aguero may get a 5 minute cameo at the end, but if he does manage to get decent minutes, how fitting would it be for him to score in his last ever game for Manchester City with 10,000 fans in attendance? Come on Sergio, do it for the fans!


Thank you to everyone who has read my articles since GW24. Every comment, positive or negative, has been greatly appreciated and over time I like to think I have improved the content and writing with each article. The 2020/21 season may nearly be over but I look forward to producing more content in 2021/22. 

Follow @FF_Flay on Twitter for more Official Fantasy Premier League talk! 

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